Acute microbial and nutrient responses to elevated temperature and pCO2: A coastal UK microcosm study

The coastal ocean’s ecosystem resilience is consistently hampered by the compounding impacts of projected climate change and anthropogenic perturbation. In this microcosm study, we investigated how elevated temperature and pCO2, together with episodic nutrient pollution and a short-term marine heatwave, affect the nano- and picoplanktonic community of primary producers and subsequent changes in coastal biogeochemistry. Our study demonstrates that future elevated temperature and pCO2 conditions impact the planktonic community, first by a ∼ 50 % decreased autotrophic abundance, and second by a shift from larger eukaryotic to smaller cells. When combined with a heatwave, total primary producers experienced an additional 37–38 % decrease, indicative of a negative synergistic effect beyond either stressor alone. Picoeukaryotes were particularly sensitive, declining by 44–50 %. Short-term nutrient pollution under ambient conditions induced a 41 % increase in cell abundance, but failed to stimulate biomass under elevated temperature and pCO2, and instead led to altered organic matter dynamics, including significantly lower carbon fixation. These findings emphasize the need for further evaluation of multi-stressor interactions to better understand biogeochemical vulnerability, nutrient retention, and ecological functioning in coastal ecosystems undergoing rapid climatic and anthropogenic change.