Abstract
This study uses Markov switching vector autoregression (MS-VAR) model to explore the asymmetric effects of China's monetary policy on the stock market in the bull market and the bear market. With China's economy in a rapid development, China's stock market as the main representative of the virtual economy has attracted large assets. Since 1990 to the present, China's stock market has experienced several times states? change between the bull market and bear market. The results indicate that China's quantity-based direct instrument and price-based indirect instrument have asymmetric effects on the stock market in the bull market and the bear market. Moreover, the relationship between China's economy and stock market exist a degree of dichotomy. Furthermore, China's monetary policy has stronger effects on the bull market than the bear market.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 745-761 |
| Number of pages | 17 |
| Journal | Asian Economic and Financial Review |
| Volume | 8 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| Publication status | Published - 23 May 2018 |
Keywords
- China’s monetary policy
- China’s economy
- Stock market
- Bull market
- Bear market
- Quantity-based direct monetary instruments
- Price-based indirect monetary instruments
- Asymmetric effects
- MS-VAR model