Dynamic spillover effects in futures markets: UK and US evidence

Nikolaos Antonakakis, Christos Floros, Renatas Kizys

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    Abstract

    Previous studies on spillover effects in future markets have so far confined themselves to static analyses. In this study, we use a newly introduced spillover index to examine dynamic spillovers between spot and futures market volatility, volume of futures trading and open interest in the UK and the US. Based on a dataset over the period February 25, 2008 to March 14, 2013, that encompasses both the global financial crisis and the Eurozone debt crisis, we find that spot and futures volatilities in the UK (US) are net receivers (net transmitters) of shocks to volume of futures trading and open interest. The analysis also sheds light on the dynamic interdependence of spot and futures market volatilities between the US and the UK. Specifically, the spot and futures volatility spillovers between the UK and US markets are of bidirectional nature, however, they are affected by major economic events such as the global financial and Eurozone debt crisis. Several robustness checks endorse our main findings. Overall, these results have important implications for various market participants and financial sector regulators.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)406-418
    Number of pages13
    JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
    Volume48
    Early online date12 Mar 2015
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Dec 2016

    Keywords

    • WNU
    • Spot and Futures Market
    • Volatility
    • Volume
    • Open Interest
    • Spillovers

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