Enhancing Bitcoin price prediction with deep learning: integrating social media sentiment and historical data

Hla Soe Htay, Mani Ghahremani*, Stavros Shiaeles

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, is renowned for its extreme volatility and speculative nature, making accurate price prediction a persistent challenge for investors. While recent studies have employed multivariate models to integrate historical price data with social media sentiment analysis, this study focuses on improving an existing univariate approach By incorporating sentiment and tweet volume data into a multivariate framework, we systematically evaluated the benefits of this integration. Among the five LSTM-based models developed for this study, the Multi-LSTM-Sentiment model achieved the best performance, with the lowest mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.00196 and root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.00304. These results underscore the significance of including social media sentiment in predictive modelling and demonstrate its potential to enhance decision-making in the highly dynamic cryptocurrency market.
Original languageEnglish
Article number1554
Pages (from-to)1-21
Number of pages21
JournalApplied Sciences
Volume15
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 4 Feb 2025

Keywords

  • Bitcoin
  • LSTM
  • cryptocurrency forecasting
  • Twitter sentiment analysis
  • multivariate time series

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