TY - CHAP
T1 - Field development optimization under geological uncertainty
AU - Yousefzadeh, Reza
AU - Kazemi, Alireza
AU - Ahmadi, Mohammad
AU - Gholinezhad, Jebraeel
PY - 2023/4/9
Y1 - 2023/4/9
N2 - Decision making about field development plans has to consider the inherent uncertainties of sub-surface hydrocarbon reservoirs; therefore, the decisions would be stable under different geological scenarios. As described in Sect. 1.5.1, the aim of this kind of uncertainty management is to propagate the uncertainty from inputs to the outputs. Therefore, instead of a single deterministic output, the output will be probabilistic from which some statistical measures, such as the expected value, standard deviation, etc. can be calculated to account for the uncertainty. Therefore, the final decision regarding the field development plan can be taken according to the statistical measures. This kind of uncertainty management is also known as the robust field development optimization as explained in the following. In addition, different risk measures, different approaches to selecting an ensemble of representative geological realizations to be used in robust optimization, decreasing the computational cost of the optimization under geological uncertainty by constrained optimization, and challenges related to these activities are described in this chapter.
AB - Decision making about field development plans has to consider the inherent uncertainties of sub-surface hydrocarbon reservoirs; therefore, the decisions would be stable under different geological scenarios. As described in Sect. 1.5.1, the aim of this kind of uncertainty management is to propagate the uncertainty from inputs to the outputs. Therefore, instead of a single deterministic output, the output will be probabilistic from which some statistical measures, such as the expected value, standard deviation, etc. can be calculated to account for the uncertainty. Therefore, the final decision regarding the field development plan can be taken according to the statistical measures. This kind of uncertainty management is also known as the robust field development optimization as explained in the following. In addition, different risk measures, different approaches to selecting an ensemble of representative geological realizations to be used in robust optimization, decreasing the computational cost of the optimization under geological uncertainty by constrained optimization, and challenges related to these activities are described in this chapter.
KW - clustering
KW - computational cost
KW - constrained optimization
KW - geological uncertainty
KW - representative realizations
KW - risk attitude
KW - robust optimization
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85153096607&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-031-28079-5_5
DO - 10.1007/978-3-031-28079-5_5
M3 - Chapter (peer-reviewed)
AN - SCOPUS:85153096607
SN - 9783031280788
T3 - SpringerBriefs in Petroleum Geoscience and Engineering
SP - 93
EP - 113
BT - Introduction to Geological Uncertainty Management in Reservoir Characterization and Optimization
PB - Springer
ER -