In this chapter, we assess macroeconomic independence using the prices of goods and services and short-term interest rates throughout a range of time periods categorised by alternative exchange rate regimes. To assess how well floating exchange rates have increased Egypt's macroeconomic independence from the EU and the US, the ARDL model (auto-regressive distributed lag) or Bounds Test has been devised. We examine a number of hypotheses concerning global transmission, interest rate and price movement, and international trade using this empirical methodology. According to the findings, Egypt's products market and monetary policy are, over the long term, completely independent from those of base countries like the European Union and the United States. Because of this, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) may decide its plan of action (policy direction) and define its goals without being impacted by shocks from the European Union and the United States (US).
|Title of host publication||Handbook of Banking and Finance in the MENA Region|
|Publication status||Accepted for publication - 30 Dec 2022|
- macroeconomics independence
- goods market
- monetary policy
- Central Bank of Egypt
- exchange rate regimes