Integration of fuzzy c-means and artificial neural network for short-term localized rainfall forecast in tropical climate

Noor Zuraidin Mohd Safar, David Ndzi, David A. Sanders, Hassanuddin Mohamed Noor, Latifah Munirah Kamarudin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution


This paper evaluates the performance of a rainfall forecasting model. In this paper Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) clustering algorithm are combined and used to forecast short-term localized rainfall in tropical climate. State forecast (raining or not raining) and value forecast (rain intensity) are tested using a number of trained networks. Different types of ANN structured were trained with a combination of multilayer perceptron with back propagation network. Levenberg-Marquardt, Bayesian Regularization and Scaled Conjugate Gradient training algorithm are used in the network training. Each neurons uses linear, logistic sigmoid and hyperbolic tangent sigmoid as transfer function. Input parameter preliminary analysis, data cleaning and FCM clustering were used to prepare input data for the ANN forecast model. Meteorological data such as atmospheric pressure, temperature, dew point, humidity and wind speed have been used as input parameters. The predicted rainfall forecast for 1 to 6 h ahead are compared and analyzed. 1 h ahead for state and value forecast yield high accuracy. Result shows that, the combined of FCM-ANN forecast model produces better accuracy compared to a basic ANN forecast model.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of SAI Intelligent Systems Conference (IntelliSys) 2016
EditorsYaxin Bi, Supriya Kapoor, Rahul Bhatia
Number of pages18
ISBN (Electronic)9783319569918
ISBN (Print)9783319569901
Publication statusPublished - 23 Aug 2017
EventSAI Intelligent Systems Conference 2016 - London, United Kingdom
Duration: 21 Sept 201622 Sept 2016

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Networks and Systems
ISSN (Print)2367-3370
ISSN (Electronic)2367-3389


ConferenceSAI Intelligent Systems Conference 2016
Abbreviated titleIntelliSys 2016
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
Internet address


Dive into the research topics of 'Integration of fuzzy c-means and artificial neural network for short-term localized rainfall forecast in tropical climate'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this