Abstract

This paper presents the first published application of multiple existing machine learning methods to a subset of features taken from the Profiles of Individual Radicalization in the United States (PIRUS) database to predict the feature ‘violent’. The best- performing model in terms of accuracy is the Hist Gradient Boosting model, with an accuracy of 89.06%, which is an improvement of more than 2.5% compared to the benchmark application. Permutation Feature Importance (PFI) and the explanation framework SHAP were then applied to explain the model predictions. Using both of these techniques together allows for a holistic view of both the model’s inner workings and the impact of the features on the results.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2024 IEEE 12th International Conference on Intelligent Systems (IS)
EditorsVassil Sgurev, Vladimir Jotsov, Vincenzo Piuri, Luybka Doukovska, Radoslav Yoshinov
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9798350350982
ISBN (Print)9798350350999
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 9 Oct 2024
Event12th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Systems, IS 2024 - Varna, Bulgaria
Duration: 29 Aug 202431 Aug 2024

Publication series

NameInternational Conference on Intelligent Systems
PublisherIEEE
ISSN (Print)2832-4145
ISSN (Electronic)2767-9802

Conference

Conference12th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Systems, IS 2024
Country/TerritoryBulgaria
CityVarna
Period29/08/2431/08/24

Keywords

  • Machine Learning
  • Extremism
  • PIRUS database
  • eXplainable AI
  • SHAP
  • Permutation Feature Importance

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