Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

John Kwesi-Buor; David Menachof; Risto Henrik Aleksander Talas

doi:10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.013

Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

John Kwesi-Buor, David Menachof, Risto Henrik Aleksander Talas

School of Criminology and Criminal Justice

University of Hull

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

System Dynamics (SD) modelling is used to investigate the impacts of policy interventions on industry actors’ preparedness to mitigate risks and to recover from disruptions along the maritime logistics and supply chain network. The model suggests a bi-directional relation between regulation and industry actors’ behaviour towards Disaster Preparedness (DP) in maritime logistics networks. The model also showed that the level of DP is highly contingent on forecast accuracy, technology change, attitude to risk prevention, port activities, and port environment.

Original language	English
Journal	Accident Analysis & Prevention
Early online date	1 Aug 2016
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.013
Publication status	Early online - 1 Aug 2016

Keywords

Disaster preparedness
Environment instability
Resilient
Logistics
System dynamics
Maritime logistics
Port management
Risk Management

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10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.013

Cite this

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abstract = "System Dynamics (SD) modelling is used to investigate the impacts of policy interventions on industry actors{\textquoteright} preparedness to mitigate risks and to recover from disruptions along the maritime logistics and supply chain network. The model suggests a bi-directional relation between regulation and industry actors{\textquoteright} behaviour towards Disaster Preparedness (DP) in maritime logistics networks. The model also showed that the level of DP is highly contingent on forecast accuracy, technology change, attitude to risk prevention, port activities, and port environment.",

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KW - Environment instability

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KW - System dynamics

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KW - Port management

KW - Risk Management

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Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

Abstract

Keywords

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