Shadow trading detection: A graph-based surveillance approach

Alexis Stenfors, Andy Guo, Boyu Li, Kaveesha Hewage, Peter Mere, Fang Chen

Research output: Working paper

Abstract

This paper introduces a novel graph-based deep learning framework for detecting risks of shadow trading—an emerging form of insider trading where material non-public information is used to trade securities of economically related but distinct companies. Motivated by the landmark SEC v. Panuwat case in April 2024, the study proposes an Adaptive Market Graph Intelligence Network (AMGIN) that integrates both industry relationships (e.g., sectoral ties, inter-organizational connections) and dynamic market behaviors (e.g., short/long-term price comovements) to uncover hidden trading patterns. By modeling the financial market as a spatiotemporal graph, the framework captures complex interdependencies that traditional statistical methods often overlook. Empirical evaluation using U.S. equity market data demonstrates AMGIN’s superior ability to identify subtle, non-obvious relationships indicative of shadow trading, offering regulators a scalable, data-driven tool for modern market surveillance.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherSocial Science Research Network
Pages1-17
Number of pages17
Publication statusPublished - 12 Jun 2025

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