Stock price prediction using a stacked heterogeneous ensemble

Michael Parker, Mani Ghahremani*, Stavros Shiaeles

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

98 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Forecasting stock price ranges remains a significant challenge because of the non-linear nature of financial data. This study proposes and evaluates a stacking ensemble model for range-based volatility forecasting, using open, high, low, and close (OHLC) prices. The model integrates a diverse, heterogeneous set of base learners, such as statistical (ARIMA), machine learning (Random Forest), and deep learning (LSTM, GRU, Transformer) models, with an XGBoost meta-learner. Applied to several major financial indices and a single stock, the proposed framework demonstrates high predictive accuracy, achieving 𝑅2 scores between 0.9735 and 0.9905. These results highlight the efficacy of a multi-faceted stacking approach in navigating the complexities of financial forecasting.
Original languageEnglish
Article number201
Number of pages23
JournalInternational Journal of Financial Studies
Volume13
Issue number4
Early online date28 Oct 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2025

Keywords

  • stacked machine learning
  • stock price forecasting
  • LSTM
  • ARIMA
  • XGBoost
  • GRU
  • transformer

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Stock price prediction using a stacked heterogeneous ensemble'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this