Systemic risk and oil price volatility shocks

Ioannis Chatziantoniou, Gonul Colak, Michail Filippidis, George Filis, Panagiotis Tzouvanas*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

We examine the impact of different types of oil price volatility shocks on firm’s systemic risk using a large panel dataset of US firms. Oil price volatility shocks occur due to changes in supply or demand for oil, or through idiosyncratic fluctuations of oil prices. Our findings indicate that the supply-driven or idiosyncratic oil price volatility shocks reduce systemic risk, whereas demand-driven shocks have the opposite effect. Large-cap and high-beta firms amplify the impact of oil price volatility shocks on firms’ systemic risk. Importantly, firms with extensive supply chain networks exacerbate systemic risk when facing demand-driven oil price volatility shocks.
Original languageEnglish
Article number101432
Number of pages19
JournalJournal of Financial Stability
Volume79
Early online date2 Jul 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2025

Keywords

  • Systemic risk
  • Oil price volatility
  • Supply-side shocks
  • Demand shocks
  • Idiosyncratic shocks
  • Supply chain network
  • Network centrality

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