The future of the northeast Atlantic benthic flora in a high CO2 world

Juliet Brodie, Christopher J. Williamson, Dan A. Smale, Nicholas A. Kamenos, Nova Mieszkowska, Rui Santos, Michael Cunliffe, Michael Steinke, Christopher Yesson, Kathryn M. Anderson, Valentina Asnaghi, Colin Brownlee, Heidi L. Burdett, Michael T. Burrows, Sinead Collins, Penelope J. C. Donohue, Ben Harvey, Andrew Foggo, Fanny Noisette, Joana NunesFederica Ragazzola, John A. Raven, Daniela N. Schmidt, David Suggett, Mirta Teichberg, Jason M. Hall-Spencer

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    Abstract

    Seaweed and seagrass communities in the northeast Atlantic have been profoundly impacted by humans, and the rate of change is accelerating rapidly
    due to runaway CO2 emissions and mounting pressures on coastlines associated
    with human population growth and increased consumption of finite
    resources. Here, we predict how rapid warming and acidification are likely
    to affect benthic flora and coastal ecosystems of the northeast Atlantic in
    this century, based on global evidence from the literature as interpreted by
    the collective knowledge of the authorship. We predict that warming will kill
    off kelp forests in the south and that ocean acidification will remove maerl
    habitat in the north. Seagrasses will proliferate, and associated epiphytes
    switch from calcified algae to diatoms and filamentous species. Invasive
    species will thrive in niches liberated by loss of native species and spread
    via exponential development of artificial marine structures. Combined
    impacts of seawater warming, ocean acidification, and increased storminess
    may replace structurally diverse seaweed canopies, with associated calcified and noncalcified flora, with simple habitats dominated by noncalcified, turf-forming
    seaweeds.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)2787-2798
    JournalEcology and Evolution
    Volume4
    Issue number13
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Jul 2014

    Keywords

    • Calcified algae
    • climate change
    • invasive species
    • macroalgae
    • microphytobenthos
    • seagrasses
    • volatile gases

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