TY - CHAP
T1 - Uncertainty management in reservoir engineering
AU - Yousefzadeh, Reza
AU - Kazemi, Alireza
AU - Ahmadi, Mohammad
AU - Gholinezhad, Jebraeel
PY - 2023/4/9
Y1 - 2023/4/9
N2 - Almost all activities in real life entail different kinds of uncertainty. From daily decisions to complicated problems, such as petroleum reservoir characterization, suffer from uncertainties. Uncertainty can have different roots, including incomplete observation of the system, incomplete modeling of the system because of our limited knowledge and understanding of the underlying mechanisms and rules of the system, intrinsic uncertainty in the system, and inaccurate measurement of the system’s parameters. The first step to deal with uncertainty is to recognize its root and type. This chapter introduces different types of uncertainty in reservoir engineering, challenges induced by uncertainty, and common ways to treat them. Two general approaches to handle the uncertainty are described, named forward uncertainty management and inverse uncertainty management. Forward uncertainty management tries to propagate the uncertainty from inputs to the output(s) to make robust decisions regarding the problem understudy. On the other hand, inverse uncertainty management deals with calibrating model parameters to reduce the range of uncertainty.
AB - Almost all activities in real life entail different kinds of uncertainty. From daily decisions to complicated problems, such as petroleum reservoir characterization, suffer from uncertainties. Uncertainty can have different roots, including incomplete observation of the system, incomplete modeling of the system because of our limited knowledge and understanding of the underlying mechanisms and rules of the system, intrinsic uncertainty in the system, and inaccurate measurement of the system’s parameters. The first step to deal with uncertainty is to recognize its root and type. This chapter introduces different types of uncertainty in reservoir engineering, challenges induced by uncertainty, and common ways to treat them. Two general approaches to handle the uncertainty are described, named forward uncertainty management and inverse uncertainty management. Forward uncertainty management tries to propagate the uncertainty from inputs to the output(s) to make robust decisions regarding the problem understudy. On the other hand, inverse uncertainty management deals with calibrating model parameters to reduce the range of uncertainty.
KW - Bayesian framework
KW - field development
KW - geological uncertainty
KW - history matching
KW - reservoir engineering
KW - robust optimization
KW - uncertainty
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85153095076&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-031-28079-5_1
DO - 10.1007/978-3-031-28079-5_1
M3 - Chapter (peer-reviewed)
AN - SCOPUS:85153095076
SN - 9783031280788
T3 - SpringerBriefs in Petroleum Geoscience and Engineering
SP - 1
EP - 14
BT - Introduction to Geological Uncertainty Management in Reservoir Characterization and Optimization
PB - Springer
ER -